“稀代のトリックスター”による「悪戯」の終焉-禁止改訂と今後の展望-

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この記事は約11分で読めます。
「oko ban」の画像検索結果

こんにちは、Digging編集部のNIMAMEです。

今日の記事はもちろん、いま一番気になる『禁止改定』についての話です。

事前予想では、「王冠泥棒、オーコ+@がスタンダードで禁止になるのではないか」という声が多く聞こえましたが、実際はどんな決断が下されたのか?

それでは早速、11月18日のアナウンスを見てみましょう(公式サイト引用):

告知日:2019年11月18日

スタンダード
ブロール
レガシー
ヴィンテージ

テーブルトップ発効日:2019年11月22日

MTGアリーナ発効日:2019年11月21日

Magic Online発効日:2019年11月18日

禁止カード、制限カードのフォーマット別一覧はこちら

次回禁止制限告知日:2019年12月16日

*後に、パイオニアは変更無しの発表。

ガッッッッッツリ!と、緑のカードがお亡くなりに。

個人的にはスタン禁止反対派なのですが、もし禁止措置を取るならばこれ以上ないくらいのカードチョイスだと思います。多くの批判が見込まれる中、Wotcも思い切りましたね。

今回の改訂を免れた主な禁止候補カード:

  • 《世界を揺るがす者、ニッサ》・・・彼女は、スタンダードにおいて圧倒的なまでのカードパワーを誇っています。今回、《王冠泥棒、オーコ》or《世界を揺るがす者、ニッサ》どちらかのプレインズウォーカーに手が加えられると予想されていた中、順当に“トリックスター”が犠牲となったためお咎めなしに。今後も、《ハイドロイド混成体》と共に活躍する余地は十分にあるでしょう。高コストカードなので、脇を固めていた相方(オーコ)さえいなくなれば対処はそこまで困難ではありません。
  • 《金のガチョウ》・・・あくまで《王冠泥棒、オーコ》あってこその高スペックマナクリーチャーです。Simicベースのデッキ以外ではほとんど使われていなかったことからも、それは明白でしょう(例:Gruul、Golgariなど)。今後は、《魔女のかまど》+《大釜の使い魔》+《パンくずの道標》シナジーを盛り込んだデッキなど、限定的な居場所を見つける形になっていくと思われます。《むかしむかし》を失ったことからも、評価は更にダウン。3ターン目《世界を揺るがす者、ニッサ》は最早、夢物語となりました…。
  • 《ハイドロイド混成体》・・・いままでと変わらぬ場所で活躍を見せるでしょう。
  • 《意地悪な狼》・・・偉大な相棒(オーコ)を失ったことで、大きく評価を下げることになります。このカードのずば抜けた強さを支えていたのは、安定した「食物」の供給源。今後は、ほとんど姿を見なくなるのではないでしょうか…。

スタンの陰に隠れて、ひっそりと《レンと6番》が禁止になっていることも気になります。こちらも明らかに環境を歪めていたので納得。今回はスタンダードに焦点を当てていきますが、近日中にレガシーについての記事も書きたいなと思っています(多分)。

さて、それでは本題の今後のスタンダードの話を。

まずは、既存のデッキから何が消えて何が残るのかを見ていきましょう。

Dead or Alive-New Standard-

ご存知の通り、現環境の大部分はSimicベースのデッキによって占められています。

下記が、11/5~のメタゲーム模様です(晴れる屋より引用):

小規模大会も多く含んでいるため、ある程度の基準とはなりますが、概ねこんな模様。

そして、改訂後にMTG GOLDFISHが禁止カードを含むデッキを削除したものがこちら:

当然のように、緑のデッキはほぼ全て再構築を迫られる結果となっています。

“緑”の今後

《王冠泥棒、オーコ》を失ったSimicが大変革を迫られるのはもちろんのこと、《むかしむかし》を失ったことにより“Adventures”も大きな痛手を負いました

「エドガーウォールの亭主」の画像検索結果

Adventuresの強みとなっているのが、《エッジウォールの亭主》を軸とした圧倒的なまでのアドバンテージ量です。このカードを最序盤にプレイ出来るかによって勝率が大きく変わるといっても過言ではないほど、 Adventuresはこのカードに依存した構築をしています。禁止改訂前は、《むかしむかし》と合わせて実質8枚体制。ロンドンマリガンを含めると、かなりの高確率で《エッジウォールの亭主》を初手にヒットさせることが可能となっていました。特にGolgari Adventuresはここが生命線となっており、このデッキが仮想敵としていた《王冠泥棒、オーコ》が禁止となったことに相まって、今後は数を減らするのではないでしょうか。Golgariカラーでデッキを組む場合は、前述した《魔女のかまど》+《大釜の使い魔》+《パンくずの道標》シナジーを盛り込んだデッキが良さそうです。

Selesnya Adventuresも当然、禁止の影響を大きく受けていますね。こちらは1ターン目《エッジウォールの亭主》or3ターン目《 敬慕されるロクソドン》というのがキープ基準とされていたため、そのどちらの受けも出来る《むかしむかし》を失ったことで大きく安定感を下げます。しかし、唯一無二の横並び性能は健在ですので、メタゲームの一角に入り込む余地は十分にあると思います。

Gruul Adventuresは完全に姿を消すのではないでしょうか。最早、GruulをAdventureベースで構築する利点はありません。

さて、最も影響を受けたSimicカラーのデッキはどうなるのでしょうか?

《王冠泥棒、オーコ》の禁止を受けたことにより、併せて《金のガチョウ》、《意地悪な狼》も実質アンプレイアブルなカードに。今後は、BBDも言っているように、白を足して《時を解す者、テフェリー》を加えたBant Rampの型が主流となっていくのではないでしょうか。《世界を揺るがす者、ニッサ》+《ハイドロイド混成体》の極悪ラインは健在ですし、《夏の帳》の禁止によって《集団強制》と《裏切りの工作員》が再評価されます。良い構築さえ見つかれば、Tier1にも返り咲けるでしょう。

「時を解す者、テフェリー」の画像検索結果

☆注目ポイント

《夏の帳》の禁止により、当然ながら緑のデッキは大きな弱体化を迫られます。

これによって《残忍な騎士》を代表とした黒の除去や、みんな大好きカウンター呪文が評価を大きく上げることになります(テフェリーが流行るようなら、カウンターはまたお通夜ですが)。

しかし、それ以上に大きく再評価されるのがこの3枚:

どれも、絶大なる盤面干渉能力を誇っていながら、常にちらつく《夏の帳》の影に怯えていたカード達です。6マナ以上で唱えたカードが、たった1マナ-しかも、キャントリップ付きでカウンターされてしまえば、実質ゲームエンドです。これからRampが再登場する後押しともなりますし、それによって対処が必要となる《世界を揺るがす者、ニッサ》への最高のカウンターパンチとして、この3種が最注目されるかもしれません。

また、その他に禁止改訂で評価が大きく変わるカードといえば、真っ先に思いつくのが《グレートヘンジ》です。

「グレートヘンジ」の画像検索結果

凄まじいカードパワーを持っていながら、《王冠泥棒、オーコ》の存在によって残念神話レアの烙印を押されていたこのカードにも春が訪れそうです。場に定着さえすれば後は脳汁垂れ流し状態が続くため、是非これを使った新デッキの登場を期待したいと思います。《グレートヘンジ》中心のデッキが出来るならば、《成長室の守護者》を見かける機会もまた増えてくるかもしれません。「各種永遠神」や、《冒涜されたもの、ヤロク》といった地力の有るクリーチャーも再評価される事になるでしょう。

また、天敵であった《意地悪な狼》が少なくなることで、《探索する獣》には我が世の春がやってくるでしょうね。プレインズウォーカーの取扱いには要注意!

「探索する獣」の画像検索結果

“緑以外のデッキ”の展望

さて、それでは緑以外のデッキはどうなっていくのでしょうか?

MTG GOLDFISHの図から見るに、現状から継続となる主なデッキは、《創案の火》、Rakdos(サクリファイス、アグロ)、《予言されたか壊滅》、Mono Red Aggro、《荒野の再生》、Asorius Controlといったところ。

この中でもAsorius Controlは、ほぼ対《王冠泥棒、オーコ》専門デッキのため除外。大本命と見られるのは、《創案の火》とRakdosカラーのデッキでしょう

《死者の原野》、《王冠泥棒、オーコ》、《むかしむかし》亡き現在、最も理不尽な動きをするのが《創案の火》を軸としたデッキです

場の土地の枚数以下の呪文を色マナ関係なく唱えられるという能力は、あまりにも滅茶苦茶!手札がフリースペル化することで、《炎の騎兵》や《帰還した王、ケンリス》、《ヴァントレス城》の能力を目一杯活用することが出来ます。また、《願いのフェイ》とのコンボは特に極悪で、《創案の火》さえ場に出ていればサイドボードに仕込んだカードをどれでも好きに唱えることが出来ます。

次に禁止が出るとしたら間違いなく《創案の火》が候補に上がると思うくらいのパワーカードですし、今回の改訂でもノーダメージなことから、新環境の基準はまずこのデッキからスタートすることになりそう。アグロデッキが息を吹き返すことが予想されますので、Jeskaiカラーで《轟音のクラリオン》を上手く使うところから始めたいですね。

対するRakdos。アグロ型とするべきか、はたまたサクリファイス型とするかは、正直好みの問題だと思っています。

《真夜中の死神》、《波乱の悪魔》、《失われた神々の僧侶》を軸に、《魔女のかまど》+《大釜の使い魔》を組み合わせた戦略はもちろん強力ですし、単純に、《騒乱の落とし子》や《悪ふざけの名人、ランクル》といったパワーカードを加えた骨太のアグロ型も魅力的です。環境初期はトップの座を争っていたデッキなだけに、復権にかける期待は大きなものとなるでしょう。

当時のRakdos Aggroに関しては、こちらの記事でMartin Juzaのデッキガイド(翻訳)を掲載しておりますので、是非ご覧下さい。

Arena Export

二台巨頭に続き、間違いなく数を増やすのがMono Red Aggroです

《朱地洞の族長、トーブラン》を中心とした圧倒的なまでの攻撃力は、赤単史上屈指のパワーを誇ります。《遁走する蒸気族》+《実験の狂乱》の最恐コンビも健在ですし、メタゲーム次第では一躍トップの座に躍り出てもおかしくありません。

《災厄の行進》を使うか否か-という選択になると思いますが、個人的には純粋なアグロ型を推します。Mono Red Aggroに関しても、こちらの記事でMartin Juzaのデッキガイド(翻訳)を掲載しておりますので、是非ご覧下さい。

Arena Export

《予言されたか壊滅》と《荒野の再生》に関しては、正直どちらも力不足かなと感じています。どこまでいってもTier2~程度に落ち着くんじゃないかと思っているので、あまり時間をかけたくないのが正直なところ。余程このデッキが好きか、好結果が続きでもしない限りは敬遠しても良さそうです。

画像に載っていないデッキとしては、《不屈の巡礼者、ゴロス》期に顔を見せていたMono Black Aggroや、「灯争大戦」環境期の覇者であるEsper Heroが考えられるでしょうか。

☆NIMAMEの注目デッキ

みんな大好き、エスパーカラーのミッドレンジが復権を果たすかもしれません。

もともと、《死者の原野》による影響で《王冠泥棒、オーコ》を除くほぼ全てのミッドレンジデッキが環境から姿を消しました。《死者の原野》亡き後も、引続きSimicカラーの圧倒的カードパワーによってその状況は続いていたのです。緑のカードが3種禁止措置を取られたことにより、もしかしたら抑圧されていた状況から抜け出すことが出来るかもしれません。

まずは、こんなリストから始めてみるのは如何でしょうか?

Esper Hero(Sample) By NIMAME
Download

一度も回してすらいない、かなり荒削りな形なので、もし手ごたえを感じるようならここから洗練させていく流れになります。《ボーラスの城塞》を中心としたコントロール型も視野に入れていたのですが、《ドミナリアの英雄、テフェリー》なき今、それは難しい…。エスパーコントロールを使いたければ、大人しく《予言の壊滅》と心中したほうが良さそうという結論に。

是非、ミッドレンジ好きー!の方は、リストを完成させてこっそりと僕に教えてください。

終わりに

長かった《王冠泥棒、オーコ》による支配も終わり、スタンダードに新たな風が吹き始めます。今回禁止になったカードはどれも、その効果の幅の広さから構築に不自由な制限をかけていました。前述した《グレートヘンジ》をはじめ、カードプールにはまだまだ隠れた強カードが潜んでいるかもしれませんよ?

兎にも角にも、ここからまた環境が再構築されていきます。

次の主役となるのは、あなたの生み出したデッキ・あなたが見出した1枚かもしれません-。

NIMAMEの環境予想:

  • Tier1  :Jeskai Fires、Rakdos Aggro&Sacrifice、Mono Red Aggro
  • Tier1.5:Golgari Cat Oven、Gruul、Selesnya Adventures
  • Tier2~:Bant Ramp、Simic Flash、Mono Black、Temur Recalmation、Esper Dance、Others

この記事は改訂に合わせて現在の考えを言語化したものなので、今後間違った結果になる可能性は大いに考えられます。参考にする際は、用法・容量を良く守ってね!


(Written by NIMAME)

*MTG Diggingでは、随時ご要望をお待ちしております。 こんな題材が欲しい、この記事を翻訳して欲しいといった希望がありましたらお気軽にご相談下さい。

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