【スタンダード】GP台北を終えて、現在のメタゲーム予報

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この記事は約8分で読めます。
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みなさんこんにちは。

《灯争大戦》加入以降、日々目まぐるしく変わるスタンダードのメタゲーム

「今週末の大会にはどのデッキを持ち込めばいいの?」とお悩みのあなたに、先週末行われたGP台北の結果を踏まえながらMTG Diggingのメタゲーム予報をお伝えしたいと思います。

[:contents]

 先ずはGP台北の結果から

Grand Prix Taipei 2019

ニッサが台北を揺るがす

 ・バントランプ

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Grand Prix Taipei 2019, 1st Place

・エスパーコントロール 

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Grand Prix Taipei 2019, 2nd Place

・ボロスフェザー 

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Grand Prix Taipei 2019, 3rd Place

・グルールウォリアーズ 

f:id:vtcoalition:20190610224004p:plain
Grand Prix Taipei 2019, 4th Place

・グリクシスボーラス 

f:id:vtcoalition:20190610224011p:plain
Grand Prix Taipei 2019, 5th Place

・シミックネクサス 

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Grand Prix Taipei 2019, 6th Place

・バントランプ

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Grand Prix Taipei 2019, 7th Place

・グリクシスボーラス

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Grand Prix Taipei 2019, 8th Place

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注目のポイントは、やはり優勝を果たしたランプデッキの大躍進でしょう。

グルールとエスパーヒーローが最大勢力であると予想されたメタゲームの中、実に8つものデッキがTop16に名を連ねました。

そしてその中心となっているのは、まさに彼女

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大会中、上位卓では右を見ても左を見てもニッサ、ニッサの大活躍
今週末のMCQでも、彼女の姿は至るところで見かけることになるでしょう。

☆注目ポイント★

1tラノワールのエルフ→2t何らかのマナ加速→3tニッサの動きは間違いなくスタンダードで最強のブン回りです。

初期忠誠度は実質6と非常に高く、クリーチャー化した土地も警戒を持っているため攻撃だけで彼女を落とすことは非常に困難。

苦手だと思われている赤単に対しても3/3警戒が強く、ターンが返ってくればx6~8のハイドラでダメージレースを一気にひっくり返すことが可能です。

脇を固めるカード(テフェリーなど)やゲームを決めるカード(x呪文たち)も優秀ですが、あくまでランプデッキの主役は彼女であることに間違いはないでしょう。

メタゲーム分析

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上位入賞者とメタゲームブレークダウンを見ると、赤単アグロの停滞が目に付きます。
また、Day2通過者は多かったものの決してグルールも勝ち組であるとは言えないでしょう(Top16までに3名)。

特筆すべきは、グリクシスボーラスの活躍ぶりです。

Day2参加者は5.9%と6番目の多さですが、Top8に2名もの通過者を送り出しています。グリクシスカラーのデッキは赤単アグロに対して非常に脆い一面を持っていたのですが、赤単アグロが負け組となった今回のメタゲームでは良い立ち位置であったのでしょう。コントロール相手には有利な相性となっているため、今後もメタゲーム次第ではよく見かけるデッキになると予想されます。

たった一人でTop8まで駆け抜けたボロスフェザーにもビックリしましたが、非常に繊細なデッキであるため、完全にネタバレしてしまった今後、結果を出し続けることが出来るかは懐疑的であると思っています。

メタゲーム上位デッキの展望

赤単アグロ
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今後、数を減らしていくことが予想されるでしょう

エスパーには絶望的なほど相性が悪く、人気のあるグルールや野茂み歩きデッキにも苦戦を強いられてしまいます。

また、相性が良いと思われているランプに対しても決して凄い有利というわけではなく、万が一メインを落としてしまった場合、サイド後に2本取るのは至難の業です。

決して使用することはお勧めしませんが、もしもこのデッキを選択するならばメインに狂乱を4枚採用し、MTG2を推し進めることをお勧めします。

いま、赤単は普通にマジックしていたら本当に厳しい立ち位置です

エスパー
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今後も変わらずメタ上位にいるでしょう

依然としてヒーロー型が多く見られるものの、第一管区の勇士を廃したタップアウト型コントロールも躍進してきました。個人的にも、強さにブレのある第一管区の勇士を抜いたこちらの型が好みです。

メインボードのケイヤの怒りが非常に強力なメタゲームとなっており、また、ヒーロー型との区別が非常に困難なため対戦相手は常に理不尽な選択を迫られるでしょう。

このデッキについてはFainalistの木原さんが解説記事を出しておりますので、詳しく知りたい方は有料の記事ですが目を通した方が良いかもしれません。

note.mu

ヒーロー型に関しては、以前翻訳記事も載せておりますのでそちらをご参考下さい!

cvmtg.hatenablog.com

グルール
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 依然として人気はあるが、パッとしない立ち位置な予想

GPでも圧倒的人気を誇りながらイマイチな結果に終わってしまったグルール。どこまでいっても不器用なデッキのため、決して悪くないデッキでありながらも…といったところで落ち着いていくと予想しています。

もしもグルールを選択するならば、上位入賞した鎖回し型やフェロックスとフェニックス併用型のような少しズレた構築を選択することが吉となるでしょう。

会場で見た、キオーラを採用した型も面白く感じました

イゼットフェニックス
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腕に自信があるならば良い立ち位置

GP本戦では振るわずとなってしまいましたが、メタゲーム的にも決して悪い選択ではないでしょう。

ただし、このデッキは扱うのが非常に難しいため、手放しでお勧めできる選択ではありません。腕に自身のある方ならば、有力デッキのひとつとして今後も候補に入れておきましょう。

台北のPTQではこのデッキが栄冠を勝ち取っています。

バントランプ
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エスパーと並んで今後もメタ最上位候補

 一躍スタンダード最上位デッキの一角となったランプデッキですが、今後も活躍を続けると予想します。意識される立場にはなるものの、それを覆すだけの底力を持っていますし、環境を定義する1枚となったニッサを最も強く運用できるのはこのデッキです。

まだリストにバラつきは見られますが、これからより洗練された物となっていく上がり目も十分です。優勝者のリストのように、白の終焉が入った型がこれから定番となっていくのではないかと考えています。

スルタイ/4C
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現状のままだとやや厳しいか

一時期話題となった戦慄衆の指揮デッキもさびしい結果が続いています。

今後も、よっぽどメタゲームが変わってこない限りは現状の型であると厳しい状況が続くと予想されます。

生き残る道としては、従来のスルタイミッドレンジとのハイブリッドのような型になることだと考えています。

ニッサ→ハイドロイドと、野茂み→戦慄衆の指揮の2つの必殺技を兼ねたデッキとして復権を果たすかもしれません。

ジェスカイ
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圧倒的負け組で、今後も大きな上がり目は見られないでしょう

 コントロール、フレンズどちらでもその状況は変わらないため、大人しく別のデッキを選択しましょう。

唯一選択する可能性が出るとすれば赤単アグロが異常に流行した場合ですが、その場合でもエスパーを選択したほうが無難であるため、今後ますます姿を見せることは減るでしょう。

その他

・白アグロ

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・シミックネクサス

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・ボロスフェザー

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メタゲーム次第では大穴を狙える存在

一芸に秀でたデッキ(白アグロ、ネクサス、フェザーなど)が多く、大会のメタゲーム次第では上位進出も十分に狙える力があります。

今回、台北のメタゲームではバントランプに高い勝率を誇るシミックネクサスとフェザーが台風の穴となりました。

メタゲームをしっかりと当てることが出来たならば、恩恵が大きい選択であると言えるでしょう。

しかし、弱いデッキに対してはとことん弱い面もありますので、割りきりが出来る方専用機といった見方も出来ます。なにより、現在のメタゲームをバッチリと読みきるのは至難の業です。

今週末お勧めのデッキ

最後に、今週末大会に出るならばお勧めできるデッキを二つ挙げたいと思います。

一つ目

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f:id:vtcoalition:20190612140455j:plain
高橋優太選手が使用したスルタイ戦慄衆の指揮

バントランプのようなブン回りはありませんが、《ニッサ→ハイドロイド》と、《野茂み→戦慄衆の指揮》の2つの必殺技を兼ね備えており、サイド後は妨害を増やして通常のミッドレンジとして立ち回ることも出来ます。

探検パッケージによってアグロと事故に強く、黒の除去と人質取りによって相手への干渉も可能です。

個人的には、サイドの黒終焉を1枚別のカードに変えるのが良さそうだな。と考えています。

ニッサは使いたいけど、ランプ特有の引きムラと干渉力の低さが気になっているプレーヤーにはピッタリの選択でしょう。

黒田正城選手が使用した一風変わったバントランプ
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もうひとつは、一風変わったこちらのデッキ

大会終了後にこちらのツイートを見て、自分も選択したかったと最も衝撃を受けたリストです。

マナ加速の部分は従来のバントランプと大きく変わりませんが、特筆すべきはその使い道。

《トロスターニ》、《不滅の太陽》といったメタゲームに劇的に刺さるカードを採用し、その力で上位まで勝ちあがったことが容易に想像できます。また、ハイドロイド以外にxマナのカードとして採用されている《栄光の終焉》は今後よく見かける1枚になると予想しています。集団強制は確かに強力なカードですが、やはり青4xxはマナ拘束が厳しく、序盤に重ね引いてしまうとそのまま敗因の原因となってしまいます。

ミラーマッチを優位に進めたい方にはピッタリの選択でしょう。赤単にも見た目ほど苦しくありませんよ!

総括

如何でしたでしょうか?

今回は、GP台北を終えて現在のスタンダードについてのまとめを記しました。

現在、環境の女王としてニッサが君臨していますが、まだまだ進化を続けるスタンダードから目が離せませんね!

今週末はどんなデッキが栄冠を勝ち取るのか?

また新たなデッキが生まれるのか?

楽しみに結果を待ちたいと思います。

それでは皆様、Enjoy MAGIC!!!!

(Written By NIMAME) 

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